Abstract:
In order to accurately and deeply understand the national public’s understanding of the basic earthquake knowledge, earthquake prediction and public service demand for earthquake prediction, a network survey on earthquake prediction was carried out by using Le survey and wechat platform. The results show that the public has a good grasp of conceptual earthquake knowledge, but their understanding is not high. The accuracy of earthquake prediction results is required, and the deviation of predicted magnitude is also accepted. It has a high degree of understanding and acceptance of the expression of prediction opinions under the current specifications and standards, but it is not acceptable to adopt the cross level expression method similar to meteorological forecast. Since there is still great uncertainty in the current earthquake prediction, the prediction opinion should give the starting earthquake probability at the same time. The medium and long-term prediction opinions of earthquakes can be gradually made public to provide guidance for promoting comprehensive disaster prevention and reduction. The public's demand for public services for earthquake prevention and disaster reduction shows diversified characteristics. Therefore, the public service of earthquake prediction in the new era can start from popular science, give full play to the authority of the earthquake department, make good use of the earthquake publicity platform, publicize earthquake prediction at different levels and in multiple modes, and help and guide the public to have a deeper understanding and understanding of earthquake prediction.